Economics

Housing starts down seven per cent in March from February: CMHC

April 16, 2024 No Comments

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says the annual pace of housing starts in March declined seven per cent compared with February.

Strong U.S. inflation could delay rate cuts on both sides of the border

April 10, 2024 No Comments

While the Bank of Canada left its benchmark rate unchanged as expected today, markets instead turned their attention to today’s hot U.S. inflation report.

Canada’s unemployment rate surges in wake of strong population growth

April 5, 2024 1 Comment

Canada’s unemployment rate surged to 6.1% in March, driven largely to population gains outpacing job growth.

What the latest GDP figures mean for the Bank of Canada’s rate cut timing

March 28, 2024 No Comments

Canada’s stronger-than-expected GDP growth in January could pose a challenge for the Bank of Canada, potentially complicating the timing for its anticipated interest rate cuts.

Ben Tal explored Canadian credit market risks

Canada’s credit market risks are on the rise, but CIBC’s Tal sees reasons for optimism

March 21, 2024 No Comments

Despite elevated credit market risks and rising delinquency rates, CIBC’s Ben Tal sees reasons for optimism.

Economists predict June rate cut as inflation continues to ease

March 19, 2024 No Comments

Today’s lower-than-expected inflation reading for February has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada could initiate its first rate cut in June.

We could reach 2% inflation by this summer: National Bank

February 23, 2024 No Comments

Could Canada’s headline inflation rate reach the neutral target of 2% by this summer, a full year sooner than the Bank of Canada’s own forecasts?
National Bank of Canada thinks so.

What is the likelihood of a soft landing in Canada

What history can tell us about soft landings and the pace of rate cuts that usually follow

February 22, 2024 No Comments

Contrary to skepticism, the Bank of Canada actually has a proven track record of successfully managing soft landings more often than not.

Unexpected inflation drop won’t hasten Bank of Canada’s rate cut plans, economists say

February 20, 2024 No Comments

The Bank of Canada is still likely to wait until mid-year before delivering its first rate cut, despite January’s downside surprise in inflation, economists say.

2024 rate-cut forecasts being revised following today’s mixed-bag jobs report

February 9, 2024 2 Comments

Today’s employment report for January, in which the unemployment rate ticked down, has caused bond markets and economist to further reel-in their rate-cut forecasts for the year.

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