
interest rate forecast


Fixed mortgage rates in Canada resume their decline amid economic volatility
After a short-lived upswing in bond yields last month that nudged some fixed mortgage rates higher, lenders are once again bringing them back down.

Sticky inflation to push Bank of Canada rate cuts to at least June: economists
A majority of economists believe stubborn inflation is likely to delay the first Bank of Canada rate cut until at least June.

2024 housing market and interest rate forecasts
2023 was a year that tested the resilience of Canadian mortgage holders. And as we look forward, there’s optimism that 2024 will be the year of rate relief.

No more rate hikes expected as unemployment rate rises to 21-month high
Canada’s unemployment rate ticked up two basis points to 5.7% in October, suggesting the Bank of Canada can now remain “firmly on the sidelines,” economists say.

CIBC’s Tal: “We are very, very close to the end of monetary tightening”
CIBC deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal said that while we’re are very close to the end of Bank of Canada rate hikes—or maybe already there—the biggest question is when the Bank will being cutting rates.

Recession expected to drive home prices down another 10%: Oxford
In its economic and housing outlook released today, Oxford Economics is forecasting a mild recession by the end of the year will lead to an additional 10% decline in average house prices by early next year.

Home prices won’t revert to pre-pandemic levels, should start rising again in 2024: CMHC
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) expects home prices to reach a bottom this year, but aren’t expected to fall below pre-pandemic levels.
